NCAA Football - 3 weeks ago

FREE CONTEST: LSU Tigers at Florida Gators (Over $50 in Amazon gift cards!)

UPDATE: THE WINNER OF THE $25 AMAZON GIFT CARD IS shell*******@bellsouth.net CONGRATULATIONS!

Nov 19, 2016; Baton Rouge, LA, USA; LSU Tigers running back Derrius Guice (5) runs past Florida Gators defensive lineman Cece Jefferson (96) during the game at Tiger Stadium. The Gators defeat the Tigers 16-10. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports Nov 19, 2016; Baton Rouge, LA, USA; LSU Tigers running back Derrius Guice (5) runs past Florida Gators defensive lineman Cece Jefferson (96) during the game at Tiger Stadium. The Gators defeat the Tigers 16-10. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
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Prizing:

1st Place: $25 Amazon gift card

2nd-5th Place: $10 Amazon gift card

Top 5 winners

1. Shelly Menard Royer
2. Helen Haynes
3. brianmeloy***@gmail.com
4. Tom Gacki
5. Joseph Sawallisch

Overview:

On Saturday, October 7th, the (3-2) LSU Tigers will be on the road to take on the (3-1) Florida Gators.

The Crowd:

“The Crowd” projects a final score of Florida 29.5 – LSU 23.1 with an over/under of 52.6.

2017-18 Statistics (130 total teams):

Passing offense: LSU 216.2 YPG > Florida 212.8 YPG

Rushing offense: LSU 192.8 YPG > Florida 145.8 YPG

Scoring offense: Florida 27.3 PPG > LSU 27.0 PPG

Scoring defense: LSU 19.4 PPG > Florida 26.0 PPG

Passing defense: LSU 184.2 YPG > Florida 240.3 YPG

Rushing defense: LSU 126.0 YPG > Florida 141.0 YPG

Turnover Margin Per Game: LSU -0.2 > Florida -0.5

Strength of schedule:

LSU is (3-2) with wins over BYU, Chattanooga, and Syracuse.  They were defeated by Mississippi State and Troy.  Florida is (3-1) with wins over Tennessee, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt.  Their lone defeat came against Michigan.

Summary:

LSU is coming off a completely embarrassing 24-21 loss at the hands of Troy and angry fans are calling for Ed Orgeron’s job.  LSU actually outgained Troy 428-326 in total yardage but were killed in time of possession.  Danny Etling was 17-25 for 198 yards with two touchdowns and one interception.  The Tigers totaled 162 rushing yards on 29 carries.  Four turnovers by the LSU offense was their ultimate undoing.  The normally staunch Tigers defense was gashed for 206 yards and three touchdowns on the ground.  LSU ranks 67th in total yardage (409.0) and 83rd in points per game (27.0).  The Tigers rank 31st in scoring defense (19.4).

Florida was able to defeat Vanderbilt at home by a final score of 38-24.  Florida outgained Vanderbilt Iowa 467-310 in total yardage.  Florida’s starting quarterback Luke Del Rio sustained a season ending injury in the victory over Vanderbilt.  Backup quarterback Feleipe Franks was 10-14 for 185 yards in his absence.  The Gators running game had a field day combining for 218 yards and five touchdowns on 51 carries.  Florida’s leading receiver Tyrie Cleveland suffered an injury and is questionable for the game against LSU.  Florida ranks 98th in total offense (359.0 YPG) and 81st in points per game (27.3).  The Gators rank 69th in scoring defense (26.0 PPG).

Bottom Line:

LSU was without their star running back Derrius Guice against Troy and his presence was surely missed.  The Tigers are banged up along the offensive line which was a disaster last week.  Florida’s offense has struggled to score points all year and they are now without their starting quarterback and possibly their best receiver.  LSU is typically known for their great defense but they have allowed 29.0 PPG in their last three.  I think LSU will cover the spread but Florida wins by a field goal at home.

Contest Rules:

To be eligible to win a prize in any contest at The Crowd’s Line, you must be at least 18 years old and a resident of the United States or Canada. You must also submit your score prediction on our official prediction tool (blog widget), and include a valid email address. Contest winners are determined according to The Crowd’s Line scoring methodology. If more than one entrant has the same winning score, final contest rankings and prize winners are selected by random draw. Only one entry per person is allowed for each contest; multiple entries from a single player will be deemed invalid. There are no prize substitutions or exchanges available from The Crowd’s Line. All contest prizes will be sent by email within 5-7 business days after the conclusion of each contest.

Florida wins 23-20

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