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“The Crowd” is projecting a final score of Yankees 6.0 – Mets 2.4 with an over/under of 8.4.
NYY: Luis Severino (9-1, 2.20) vs NYM: Noah Syndergaard (4-1, 3.06)
Runs per game: Yankees 5.68 (1st) > Mets 3.98 (25th)
Batting Average: Yankees .257 (5th) > Mets .234 (22nd)
On Base Percentage: Yankees .338 (2nd) > Mets .312 (22nd)
Total Bases: Yankees 936 (2nd) > Mets 747 (27th)
Stolen Bases: Yankees 30 (15th) > Mets 25 (20th)
Team Earned Run Average: Yankees 3.73 (12th) > Mets 4.17 (17th)
Batting Average Against: Yankees .222 (4th) > Mets .256 (22nd)
Walks/Hits Per Innings Pitched: Yankees 1.20 (5th) > Mets 1.34 (20th)
Strikeouts: Yankees 579 (5th) > Mets 550 (7th)
Saves: Mets 17 (8th) > Yankees 15 (14th)
Errors: Mets 34 (14th) > Yankees 40 (25th)
The Yankees enter the game leading the league in runs per game (5.68) and 12th in team earned run average (3.73). The Yankees are (7-3) in their last ten games and (17-9) on the road this season. The new “bash brothers” Aaron Judge (.276, 16 HR, 41 RBI) and Giancarlo Stanton (.251, 13 HR, 32 RBI) are certainly providing thunder in the lineup though they are striking out at an alarming rate. Gleyber Torres (.298, 10 HR, 28 RBI) is among the favorites to win rookie of the year and has provided quite a spark for the Yankees. The Yankees starting staff has been better than expected and their dynamite bullpen has the 6th best ERA in baseball (3.25). If there’s an Achilles heel for the Bronx Bombers it’s their suspect defense as they’ve committed the 6th most errors (40). The Yankees will be up against flamethrower Noah Syndergaard (4-1, 3.06) but he is making his first start since returning from the disabled list.
The Mets rank 25th in runs per game (3.98) and 17th in team ERA (4.17). The Mets have lost five straight games and are just (2-8) in their last ten. Surprisingly the Mets have one of the worst home records (12-18) in the majors this year. The Mets have battled injuries and inconsistent lineup production all season. A lack of power is glaring as the Mets have hit the 6th fewest homers (59) of any team. Asdrubal Cabrera (.287, 10 HR, 34 RBI) has been one of the lone bright spots while Yoenis Cespedes (.255, 8 HR, 28 RBI) isn’t producing to the star level we are accustomed to seeing. The bullpen for the Mets has really let them down ranking 26th in earned run average (4.53). The Mets will have their hands full with hard throwing Luis Severino (9-1, 2.20) who is among the leaders for this year’s A.L. Cy Young Award. Severino has dominated the Mets holding them to a combined .136 average in 44 at-bats.
The Yankees are red hot right now scoring a bunch of runs whereas the Mets are quite the opposite. I expect this to be a low scoring game with two of the better pitchers in baseball facing off. Syndergaard could be a bit rusty in his first start off the D.L. while Severino has only given up more than three runs in one of his thirteen starts this season. The Mets have really struggled to win at home so I’m taking the Yankees to win this one on the road.
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